War with Iran: Trump Faces Political and Economic Crisis

The war between the United States and Iran, which began on February 28, has evolved from a campaign expected to be short and manageable into a prolonged conflict threatening to become a 'forever war'. This strategic shift has plunged Donald Trump's administration into a political and economic nightmare, challenging his promise to avoid endless wars and proving more costly and destabilizing than anticipated. The logic of the battlefield is now inextricably intertwined with political logic, increasing pressure on the U.S. government.

Economically, the conflict has disrupted global energy flows, driving up oil prices and pushing U.S. gasoline costs above four dollars per gallon. This inflation directly impacts American households, eroding domestic support for the war. Trump's approval rating has fallen to 36%, its lowest since his return to the presidency, reflecting how a prolonged war is perceived as a test of incompetence and a burden on allied relations, rather than an act of decisive leadership.

On the diplomatic front, Trump has set a final deadline for Tuesday, threatening that Iran could be 'taken out' if no deal is reached. This ultimatum underscores the escalating tension and lack of a clear exit strategy, as attacks and demands continue unabated, stifling reasonable voices for peace. The situation suggests that major strikes are imminent, which could further escalate the conflict and deepen its global impact.

Analytically, this scenario exposes contradictions in Trump's foreign policy: while seeking to project strength and avoid endless wars, his actions have led to a conflict increasingly resembling a war of choice with no clean exit. The combination of economic pressure, political wear, and imminent military threats creates a vicious cycle that hinders any peaceful resolution, risking international stability and the credibility of the U.S. administration.